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  • Jira Agile is installed
  • The Story Points field is available
  • If you want to build a report using time metric, make sure that time tracking is enabled
  • Release Prediction Chart is added is added to your dashboard
  • You have configured have configured the Release Prediction Chart


Reading data on the chart

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  • Sprint related data
    • sprint estimates - The estimated progression of the project
    • sprint actuals - The actual progression of the project
    • planned sprint - this line shows how work on the future planned sprints is going to be delivered based on the team's velocity and estimates for the tickets. This line is useful to sanity check your planned sprints as it helps you compare where you want to be at a certain date in the future (sprint estimates line in the future) and how the planned tickets are about to be delivered in the future. For example, you plan to finish sprint 23 on October 18, have all your tickets estimated and added to the sprint, and this workload might be more than a team can deliver within a sprint. Jira will not tell you that you won't deliver your work on time. But you can look at the planned sprint value on the chart and see that delivering tickets estimated for sprint 23 is actually going to happen not earlier than October 27 (see two screenshots below). This is a powerful insight to have both for project planning and for expectation setting.
       
    • future normal sprint - The predicted ideal progression of the sprints or how the sprints should ideally be planned based on how they have been delivered up till now
  • Version related data
    • version estimates - The estimated progression of the version
    • version actuals - The actual progression of the version
    • planned version - The planned progression of the version (how the version should be planned)
  • Acceptable deviation and danger zone – a user defined deviation area around the future sprint estimates. If the future sprint actuals are inside this area, the team progress is considered to be on track even if the actuals are below the estimates. 
    • Deviation (ahead) – a gold to aim for. This is the hardest line to reach on the chart but at the same time the sweetest one. Very rarely do teams reach that gold but it's worth trying! (smile)(smile)
    • Deviation (behind) – this line marks the maximum deviation from planned work beyond which the team progress is not considered to be on track and thus - entering the danger zone.
    • Danger zone – transparent red area below the Deviation (behind) line. Whenever the sprint actuals are inside the danger zone, it means that the team's progress is far below the plan, even below the acceptable deviation. This is a serious point where you would want to sit with your team and identify a reason for this – maybe a team was distracted by work that is not planned for, maybe the plans are too ambitious for the team to deliver, and so on.

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In addition to sprint information that you would typically find in JIRA, you can also see stats on your team's progress:


StatsDescription
Projected sprints till releaseThe number of sprints that should be completed until release date in order to deliver the estimated work
Story Points /
Work time to deliver till release
The work committed to be delivered until release
Projected release dateThe estimated date of release
Optimistic release dateThe estimated date of release, if the team is ahead of schedule with the selected deviation percentage
Pessimistic release dateThe estimated date of release, if the team is behind schedule with the selected deviation percentage


Sprints tab

The Sprints tab contains details of the closed sprints, open sprints (current sprints) and planned sprints that are included in the report. The sprints are clickable to make the navigation faster for you. For the unplanned sprints the link displays the backlog issues.

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  • You have at least 2 completed sprints on the SCRUM board
  • You check the Warnings tab from time to time and triage tickets from there. The tickets shown in the Warnings tab are not included into the chart calculations, and thus in order to see the accurate picture on the chart, you might want to triage those tickets first.

See also

RPC - Configuring Release Prediction Chart